Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus vs Fiorentino

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
De Lucia U.
Assist: Rinaldi M.
77' Event
Scappini S.
Assist: Buonocunto I.
88' Event
Zenoni M.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between Virtus and Fiorentino finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Virtus
20%
Draws
19%
Fiorentino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Virtus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Virtus here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Fiorentino
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 23 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.14 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Virtus
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Fiorentino
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Virtus
0:4
Feb 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Fiorentino
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Virtus
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer De Lucia U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scappini S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fiorentino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus 95 / 100
Fiorentino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Fiorentino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Solid form: Virtus remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Fiorentino conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Virtus VS Fiorentino
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus

(Home)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
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Fiorentino

(Away)
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2
Fiorentino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)