Sport Picks
Match Events
67'
67'
Piscitella G.
Assist: Scappini S.
72'
72'
Scappini S.
Assist: Zenoni M.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between Virtus and Juvenes/Dogana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Virtus come out ahead of Juvenes/Dogana on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Virtus's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Virtus have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus | Juvenes/Dogana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:2
May 3, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Compare
Top Goalscorer Piscitella G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Scappini S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Juvenes/Dogana Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus 95 / 100
Juvenes/Dogana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Juvenes/Dogana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Virtus went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Juvenes/Dogana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Virtus VS Juvenes/Dogana
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus
(Home) 18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
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12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0 Dila Gori
30 Jun
Virtus
2 : 3 Vardar
16 May
Virtus
2 : 1 La Fiorita
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Juvenes/Dogana
(Away) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0 SC Faetano
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20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
03 May
Virtus
0 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
18 Apr
SS Pennarossa
0 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
