Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Scappini S.
Assist: Amati A.
35'
35'
Zenoni M.
65'
65'
Golinucci A.
Assist: Amati A.
AI Match Summary
Virtus in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Virtus have won more games recently than SS Pennarossa.
- Model gives Virtus a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Virtus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus | SS Pennarossa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.12 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SS Pennarossa
3:1
Sep 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Virtus
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Virtus
3:3
Jan 12, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SS Pennarossa
2:1
Jan 24, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Virtus
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Compare
Top Goalscorer Scappini S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zenoni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 1.06
SS Pennarossa Compare
Top Goalscorer Martini C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.78
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus 95 / 100
SS Pennarossa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus SS Pennarossa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Virtus has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: SS Pennarossa conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Virtus VS SS Pennarossa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.86
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus
(Home) 18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0 Dila Gori
30 Jun
Virtus
2 : 3 Vardar
16 May
Virtus
2 : 1 La Fiorita
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SS Pennarossa
(Away) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0 SS Pennarossa
26 Apr
Tre Fiori
1 : 1 SS Pennarossa
12 Apr
SP Cosmos
0 : 1 SS Pennarossa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
