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Stadium Background

Virtus vs Tre Fiori

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Coppa Titano 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Virtus
15%
Draws
46%
Tre Fiori
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Virtus average 2.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Tre Fiori's 2.
  • Win probability leans Tre Fiori's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Virtus, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Virtus Clean Sheet 20%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Tre Fiori
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 20 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Coppa Titano
Tre Fiori vs Virtus
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Virtus
4:1
Mar 4, 2026 Coppa Titano
Virtus vs Tre Fiori
0:0
Dec 23, 2025 Super Cup
Virtus vs Tre Fiori
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Tre Fiori
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus 28 / 100
Tre Fiori 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Tre Fiori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Virtus went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tre Fiori has conceded goals in 44% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Virtus VS Tre Fiori
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus

(Home)
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0
Dila Gori
Page 1 of 7

Tre Fiori

(Away)
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Cailungo 2
AC Libertas 3
San Giovanni 3
SP Cosmos 4
Tre Fiori 4
SS Pennarossa 1
Tre Penne 5
SP Domagnano 2
Fiorentino 2
Juvenes/Dogana 5
SS Murata 3
SC Faetano 1
Folgore 0
La Fiorita 1
Quarter-finals
Virtus 6
AC Libertas 1
SP Cosmos 1
Tre Fiori 7
Tre Penne 1
Juvenes/Dogana 2
SS Murata 2
La Fiorita 4
Semi-finals
Virtus 0
Tre Fiori 1
Juvenes/Dogana 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Tre Fiori 1
La Fiorita 3