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Virtus Verona vs FC Castiglione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Virtus Verona and FC Castiglione finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Castiglione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Virtus Verona
11%
Draws
9%
FC Castiglione
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Virtus Verona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Castiglione come out ahead of Virtus Verona on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Virtus Verona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 16%
FC Castiglione Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Verona FC Castiglione
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 13 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2015 Serie D - Group B
FC Castiglione vs Virtus Verona
1:1
Nov 23, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Virtus Verona vs FC Castiglione
0:1
Jan 12, 2014 Lega Pro C2/A
FC Castiglione vs Virtus Verona
0:0
Sep 8, 2013 Lega Pro C2/A
Virtus Verona vs FC Castiglione
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Verona 75 / 100
FC Castiglione 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Verona FC Castiglione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Virtus Verona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

FC Castiglione's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Virtus Verona scored in 55% of their last 33 outings.

FC Castiglione has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Virtus Verona VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Verona

(Home)
25 Apr
Lumezzane
4 : 1
Virtus Verona
19 Apr
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
11 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 2
Virtus Verona
06 Apr
Virtus Verona
0 : 0
Ospitaletto
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0
Virtus Verona
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FC Castiglione

(Away)
10 Aug
FC Castiglione
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
19 Jul
Mantova
13 : 0
FC Castiglione
28 May
Siena
2 : 1
FC Castiglione
20 May
Cuneo
1 : 2
FC Castiglione
17 May
FC Castiglione
1 : 1
Padova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Castiglione36228654:2674
2Lecco36199865:4266
3Seregno Calcio362051164:3765
4Ciserano361791053:3960
5Virtus Verona361514758:3459
6Pergolettese3615101146:4455
7Olginatese361591244:3454
8Ponte San Pietro3614101250:4252
9Ciliverghe Mazzano361491337:4051
10Sondrio361561546:5051
11Aurora Seriate361481442:4350
12Inveruno3613101347:4849
13Villafranca3612111344:4947
14MapelloBonate3612111336:4847
15Pro Sesto361381538:4147
16Caravaggio361181737:4241
17Folgore Caratese367161334:4037
18Castellana36792036:6130
19Montichiari36123326:975
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)