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Virunga vs Primeiro de Agosto

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF Confederation Cup. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Virunga at 0.92 goals for, 1.35 against; Primeiro de Agosto at 1.66 for, 0.69 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.63 - 1.24) back Primeiro de Agosto to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Virunga
15%
Draws
58%
Primeiro de Agosto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Primeiro de Agosto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Primeiro de Agosto have won more games recently than Virunga.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Primeiro de Agosto taking it.
  • Primeiro de Agosto arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Virunga Clean Sheet 19%
Primeiro de Agosto Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virunga Primeiro de Agosto
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.92 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virunga 12 / 100
Primeiro de Agosto 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virunga Primeiro de Agosto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primeiro de Agosto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virunga's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Primeiro de Agosto has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Virunga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Virunga VS Primeiro de Agosto
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Virunga

(Home)
13 Sept
Bazar Brothers
0 : 1
Virunga
27 Feb
AS Maniema
4 : 1
Virunga
18 Feb
Dauphins Noirs
0 : 1
Virunga
14 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0
Virunga
14 Feb
Virunga
1 : 2
Muungano
Page 1 of 6

Primeiro de Agosto

(Away)
11 Sept
Primeiro de Agosto
2 : 0
Green Mamba
09 Sept
Cabinda
1 : 1
Primeiro de Agosto
05 Sept
Green Mamba
0 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
01 Sept
Primeiro de Agosto
2 : 1
Interclube
27 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 2
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -