Sport Picks
Vis Nova Giussano vs Caravaggio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 
Match Events
76'
76'
Orellana M.
90'
90'
Gritti A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Vis Nova Giussano and Caravaggio finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaggio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Vis Nova Giussano come out ahead of Caravaggio on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Vis Nova Giussano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Vis Nova Giussano Clean Sheet 19%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vis Nova Giussano | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Vis Nova Giussano vs Caravaggio
1:1
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Vis Nova Giussano
1:2
Mar 7, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Vis Nova Giussano
1:5
Dec 6, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Vis Nova Giussano vs Caravaggio
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vis Nova Giussano Compare
Top Goalscorer Orellana M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Caravaggio Compare
Top Goalscorer Gritti A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vis Nova Giussano 36 / 100
Caravaggio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vis Nova Giussano Caravaggio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vis Nova Giussano found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Vis Nova Giussano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Caravaggio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Vis Nova Giussano
(Home) 15 May
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Vis Nova Giussano
08 May
Vis Nova Giussano
1 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
01 May
USD Casatese
6 : 2 Vis Nova Giussano
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3 Olginatese
23 Apr
Sangiuliano City
1 : 0 Vis Nova Giussano
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Vis Nova Giussano
1 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3 Olginatese
09 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
0 : 1 Folgore Caratese
30 Mar
Vis Nova Giussano
1 : 1 Caravaggio
13 Mar
Vis Nova Giussano
0 : 2 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 3
Caravaggio
(Away) 17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 7
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
30 Mar
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 0 Caravaggio
09 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 1 Caravaggio
16 Feb
Este
3 : 1 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 81:39 | 82 |
| 2 | Legnano | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 49:44 | 66 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 70:44 | 64 |
| 4 | Brusaporto | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 62:49 | 64 |
| 5 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 57:46 | 63 |
| 6 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 65:49 | 63 |
| 7 | Breno | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56:43 | 58 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 66:56 | 58 |
| 9 | Arconatese | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 62:58 | 57 |
| 10 | Franciacorta | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 73:80 | 52 |
| 11 | Crema | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:52 | 46 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 50:55 | 46 |
| 13 | Sona | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 43:56 | 45 |
| 14 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 54:56 | 44 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:39 | 44 |
| 16 | Villa Valle | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49:56 | 39 |
| 17 | Caravaggio | 38 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 41:62 | 37 |
| 18 | Vis Nova Giussano | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 56:77 | 35 |
| 19 | Olginatese | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:60 | 35 |
| 20 | AC Leon | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 50:88 | 33 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)
