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Vis Nova Giussano vs Crema

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ferretti A.
25' Event
Fall M.
37' Event
Ferretti A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Vis Nova Giussano and Crema finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vis Nova Giussano
20%
Draws
40%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Crema haven't matched Vis Nova Giussano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Crema's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Crema have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vis Nova Giussano Clean Sheet 20%
Crema Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vis Nova Giussano Crema
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 11
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.4 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Vis Nova Giussano vs Crema
1:2
Oct 6, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Vis Nova Giussano
1:0
Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Vis Nova Giussano
3:1
Oct 4, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Vis Nova Giussano vs Crema
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vis Nova Giussano Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferretti A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vis Nova Giussano 28 / 100
Crema 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vis Nova Giussano Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crema Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vis Nova Giussano's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Crema conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Crema's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crema
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vis Nova Giussano

(Home)
15 May
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Vis Nova Giussano
08 May
Vis Nova Giussano
1 : 0
Ponte San Pietro
01 May
USD Casatese
6 : 2
Vis Nova Giussano
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
23 Apr
Sangiuliano City
1 : 0
Vis Nova Giussano
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Crema

(Away)
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)