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Vis Pesaro vs Ostiamare Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Tonino Benelli, Pesaro
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Di Paola M.
44'
Casolari F.
52' Event
Nicastro F.
Assist: Giovannini R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Vis Pesaro and Ostiamare finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vis Pesaro
15%
Draws
59%
Ostiamare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ostiamare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostiamare come out ahead of Vis Pesaro on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ostiamare a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 13%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vis Pesaro Ostiamare
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Ostiamare
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vis Pesaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicastro F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Carbone F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tonin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vis Pesaro 22 / 100
Ostiamare 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vis Pesaro Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostiamare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vis Pesaro scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Ostiamare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vis Pesaro remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vis Pesaro VS Ostiamare
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vis Pesaro

(Home)
27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6

Ostiamare

(Away)
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 7 6 1 0 14:4 19
2 Ravenna 7 5 2 0 12:2 17
3 Grosseto 7 4 3 0 13:4 15
4 Reggiana 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
5 Livorno 7 4 2 1 10:8 14
6 Campobasso 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
7 Sassari Torres 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
8 Forli FC 7 2 4 1 13:11 10
9 Perugia 7 3 1 3 6:11 10
10 Guidonia 1937 7 2 3 2 9:7 9
11 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
12 Pescara 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
13 Ostiamare 7 2 1 4 8:9 7
14 Gubbio 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
15 Pineto 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Vado 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
18 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
19 Pianese 7 0 3 4 4:9 3
20 Sambenedettese 7 0 2 5 8:13 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)