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Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Noevir Stadium, Kobe
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vissel Kobe host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Vissel Kobe at 1.76 goals for, 1.28 against; Nagoya Grampus at 1.64 for, 1.79 against. Past meetings favor Vissel Kobe slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.25) point toward Vissel Kobe. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Vissel Kobe
15%
Draws
50%
Nagoya Grampus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nagoya Grampus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vissel Kobe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 19%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vissel Kobe Nagoya Grampus
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe
0:3
Jun 15, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe
2:2
Jul 20, 2024 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vissel Kobe 32 / 100
Nagoya Grampus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vissel Kobe Nagoya Grampus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vissel Kobe's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nagoya Grampus has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Vissel Kobe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vissel Kobe VS Nagoya Grampus
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vissel Kobe

(Home)
21 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1
Vissel Kobe
18 Oct
Okayama
0 : 3
Vissel Kobe
14 Oct
Vissel Kobe
2 : 0
Jeonbuk
09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2
Vissel Kobe
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 6

Nagoya Grampus

(Away)
21 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
17 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
14 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
4 : 3
Okayama
11 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
1 : 2
Nagoya Grampus
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 11 8 2 1 30:10 26
2 FC Tokyo 11 7 3 1 21:8 24
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 11 7 2 2 25:10 23
4 Vissel Kobe 11 7 1 3 18:11 22
5 Kashiwa Reysol 11 7 1 3 22:17 22
6 Kashima Antlers 11 6 2 3 23:18 20
7 Kawasaki Frontale 11 5 4 2 23:17 19
8 Urawa Reds 11 6 0 5 20:23 18
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 11 4 5 2 15:11 17
10 Okayama 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 11 4 2 5 10:16 14
12 Nagoya Grampus 11 4 1 6 13:17 13
13 Cerezo Osaka 11 3 4 4 10:17 13
14 V-Varen Nagasaki 11 3 3 5 15:18 12
15 Gamba Osaka 11 2 4 5 12:19 10
16 Mito 11 2 3 6 12:16 9
17 Kyoto 11 2 3 6 13:21 9
18 Avispa Fukuoka 11 2 1 8 12:18 7
19 Chiba 11 1 3 7 10:22 6
20 Verdy 11 0 5 6 6:20 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)