Sport Picks

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan

Emperors Cup Noevir Stadium, Kobe

Vissel Kobe

1 - 0

Sagan Tosu

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Kuwasaki Y.

46'

Sub

Komatsu R. In: Osako Y.

Out: Komatsu R.

46'

Sub

Kuwasaki Y. In: Ideguchi Y.

Out: Kuwasaki Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%

Vissel Kobe

15%

Draws

14%

Sagan Tosu

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence

Vissel Kobe have won more games recently than Sagan Tosu.
Model gives Vissel Kobe a 71% chance of winning this.
Vissel Kobe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Vissel Kobe, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Vissel Kobe here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 68%

Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vissel Kobe	Sagan Tosu
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	19	15
Draws	2	2
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.8	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.27	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Emperors Cup

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu

1:0

Aug 25, 2024 J1 League

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu

2:0

Apr 3, 2024 J1 League

Sagan Tosu vs Vissel Kobe

0:0

Jul 16, 2023 J1 League

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu

2:1

Mar 18, 2023 J1 League

Sagan Tosu vs Vissel Kobe

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vissel Kobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Erik

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Sagan Tosu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vissel Kobe 95 / 100

Sagan Tosu 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vissel Kobe Sagan Tosu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vissel Kobe Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vissel Kobe scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Vissel Kobe remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sagan Tosu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sagan Tosu conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vissel Kobe VS Sagan Tosu

1.63 Goals Scored 1.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vissel Kobe

(Home)

23 Sept

Vissel Kobe

1 : 0

Sagan Tosu

20 Sept

Gamba Osaka

0 : 1

Vissel Kobe

16 Sept

Port MTI FC

1 : 2

Vissel Kobe

11 Sept

Vissel Kobe

2 : 1

Kashima Antlers

06 Sept

Vissel Kobe

3 : 1

V-Varen Nagasaki

Page 1 of 6

Sagan Tosu

(Away)

26 Sept

Montedio Yamagata

2 : 0

Sagan Tosu

23 Sept

Vissel Kobe

1 : 0

Sagan Tosu

19 Sept

Sagan Tosu

1 : 3

Iwaki

12 Sept

Imabari

1 : 0

Sagan Tosu

05 Sept

Sagan Tosu

2 : 0

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Kashima Antlers -

TBD -

Atletico Suzuka 2

Basara Hyogo 1

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -

TBD -

Kofu -

Nagoya Grampus -

TBD -

Gainare Tottori 3

Kumamoto 2

Verdy -

TBD -

Tohoku Gakuin University 1

Thespakusatsu Gunma 3

Kawasaki Frontale -

TBD -

Tochigi SC 2

Urayasu SC 0

Iwata -

TBD -

Tegevajaro Miyazaki -

Gamba Osaka -

TBD -

Reilac Shiga 2

Japan Soccer 1

Tokushima -

TBD -

FC Tokushima 1

Kawasoe Club 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima -

TBD -

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1

Okinawa 2

Iwaki -

TBD -

Oita Trinita -

Okayama -

TBD -

Belugarosso Iwami 2

Nagasaki Intl University 0

Chiba -

TBD -

Arterivo Wakayama 0

Azul Claro Numazu 6

Vissel Kobe -

TBD -

Veroskronos Tsuno 3

Kamatamare Sanuki 1

Sagan Tosu -

TBD -

Toyama -

Avispa Fukuoka -

TBD -

Verspah Oita 3

Kochi United 0

Yokohama FC -

TBD -

Ryutsu Keizai University 1

Criacao Shinjuku 2

Kashiwa Reysol -

TBD -

Senshu University 2

Tsukuba Univ. 1

Imabari -

TBD -

Blaublitz -

Yokohama F. Marinos -

TBD -

Fukushima United 7

Oyama 0

Mito -

TBD -

Kanazawa 1

Kyoto Sangyo 4

Urawa Reds -

TBD -

Yamanashi Gakuin 1

Tokyo International University 0

Omiya Ardija -

TBD -

Vanraure -

Cerezo Osaka -

TBD -

Gifu 3

Toyama Shinjo 1

Albirex Niigata -

TBD -

Kagoshima United 2

Renofa Yamaguchi 1

Kyoto -

TBD -

SRC Hiroshima 1

Maruyasu Okazaki 6

Montedio Yamagata -

TBD -

Fujieda MYFC -

Shimizu S-Pulse -

TBD -

Nara Club 1

FC Osaka 4

V-Varen Nagasaki -

TBD -

Ehime 2

International Pacific Univesity 1

Machida Zelvia -

TBD -

Iwate Grulla Morioka 1

Sapporo University FC 0

Vegalta Sendai -

TBD -

Tochigi City -

FC Tokyo -

TBD -

Nagano Parceiro 2

Fukui Utd. 1

Shonan Bellmare -

TBD -

Reinmeer Aomori 15

Akita University 0

1/32-finals

Kashima Antlers 3

Atletico Suzuka 0

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1

Kofu 3

Nagoya Grampus 1

Gainare Tottori 3

Verdy 4

Thespakusatsu Gunma 1

Kawasaki Frontale 3

Tochigi SC 1

Iwata 0

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1

Gamba Osaka 2

Reilac Shiga 0

Tokushima 3

FC Tokushima 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4

Okinawa 1

Iwaki 2

Oita Trinita 0

Okayama 3

Belugarosso Iwami 0

Chiba 2

Azul Claro Numazu 1

Vissel Kobe 2

Veroskronos Tsuno 1

Sagan Tosu 4

Toyama 0

Avispa Fukuoka 1

Verspah Oita 0

Yokohama FC 3

Criacao Shinjuku 1

Kashiwa Reysol 2

Senshu University 1

Imabari 4

Blaublitz 1

Yokohama F. Marinos 1

Fukushima United 0

Mito 0

Kyoto Sangyo 2

Urawa Reds 3

Yamanashi Gakuin 0

Omiya Ardija 2

Vanraure 0

Cerezo Osaka 3

Gifu 1

Albirex Niigata 0

Kagoshima United 4

Kyoto 1

Maruyasu Okazaki 0

Montedio Yamagata 3

Fujieda MYFC 5

Shimizu S-Pulse 2

FC Osaka 1

V-Varen Nagasaki 3

Ehime 2

Machida Zelvia 3

Iwate Grulla Morioka 0

Vegalta Sendai 1

Tochigi City 2

FC Tokyo 6

Nagano Parceiro 0

Shonan Bellmare 1

Reinmeer Aomori 0

1/16-finals

Kashima Antlers 3

Kofu 1

Gainare Tottori -

Verdy -

Kawasaki Frontale -

Tegevajaro Miyazaki -

Gamba Osaka 5

Tokushima 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima -

Iwaki -

Okayama -

Chiba -

Vissel Kobe 1

Sagan Tosu 0

Avispa Fukuoka -

Yokohama FC -

Kashiwa Reysol 4

Imabari 0

Yokohama F. Marinos -

Kyoto Sangyo -

Urawa Reds -

Omiya Ardija -

Cerezo Osaka -

Kagoshima United -

Kyoto 1

Fujieda MYFC 0

Shimizu S-Pulse -

V-Varen Nagasaki -

Machida Zelvia 2

Tochigi City 1

FC Tokyo -

Shonan Bellmare -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan

Vissel Kobe

Sagan Tosu

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Vissel Kobe Compare

Sagan Tosu Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Vissel Kobe

Sagan Tosu

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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