Sport Picks
Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Noevir Stadium, Kobe 
Match Events
2'
2'
Nagato K.
34'
34'
Goke Y.
Assist: Nagato K.
40'
40'
Hasegawa M.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Vissel Kobe and V-Varen Nagasaki finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vissel Kobe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vissel Kobe carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Vissel Kobe a 54% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 68%
V-Varen Nagasaki Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vissel Kobe | V-Varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki
3:1
May 17, 2026 J1 League
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe
3:2
Feb 13, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki
2:0
Oct 6, 2018 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki
1:1
Jul 18, 2018 J1 League
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vissel Kobe Compare
Top Goalscorer Goke Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nagato K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
V-Varen Nagasaki Compare
Top Goalscorer Matsumoto T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vissel Kobe 50 / 100
V-Varen Nagasaki 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vissel Kobe V-Varen Nagasaki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vissel Kobe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vissel Kobe's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
V-Varen Nagasaki let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Vissel Kobe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vissel Kobe VS V-Varen Nagasaki
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Vissel Kobe
(Home) 09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Vissel Kobe
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1 Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2 Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1 Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1 Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Aug
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Cerezo Osaka
26 Aug
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1 Veroskronos Tsuno
Page 1 of 4
V-Varen Nagasaki
(Away) 07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
21 Aug
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
