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Vistula vs One Knoxville Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

US Open Cup Garfield HS, Garfield, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Gorczowski S.
Assist: Elezaj E.
14' Event
Diene B.
21' Event
Gill R.
Assist: McLeod S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vistula
25%
Draws
35%
One Knoxville
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Vistula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • One Knoxville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vistula a 36% chance of winning this.
  • One Knoxville arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor One Knoxville, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Vistula Clean Sheet 16%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vistula One Knoxville
Matches Played 1 30
Wins 0 15
Draws 0 7
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 1 1.7
Goals Conceded 3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 US Open Cup
Vistula vs One Knoxville
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vistula Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorczowski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

One Knoxville Compare

Top Goalscorer Diene B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gill R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vistula 36 / 100
One Knoxville 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vistula One Knoxville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vistula scored in 100% of their last 1 games.

One Knoxville has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

One Knoxville's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS One Knoxville
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vistula

(Home)
18 Mar
Vistula
1 : 3
One Knoxville

One Knoxville

(Away)
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
FC Naples
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City 1
Columbus Crew 2
St. Louis City 3
Colorado Rapids 0
Final
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -