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Vital'O vs Aigle Noir

Burundi Burundi

Primus League Intwari Stadium, Bujumbura
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AI Match Summary

Vital'O in this Primus League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vital'O.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vital'O
30%
Draws
19%
Aigle Noir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vital'O

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vital'O haven't matched Aigle Noir's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vital'O's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vital'O Clean Sheet 20%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vital'O Aigle Noir
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 16 19
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Primus League
Vital'O vs Aigle Noir
3:2
May 5, 2026 Coupe du President
Vital'O vs Aigle Noir
0:2
May 3, 2026 Coupe du President
Aigle Noir vs Vital'O
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Vital'O
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Primus League
Vital'O vs Aigle Noir
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vital'O 76 / 100
Aigle Noir 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vital'O Aigle Noir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vital'O Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vital'O scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Vital'O stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aigle Noir let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vital'O VS Aigle Noir
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vital'O

(Home)
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
30 Aug
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Vital'O
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Vital'O
1 : 1
Inter Star
09 May
Royal Vision
0 : 1
Vital'O
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Aigle Noir

(Away)
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vital'O 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Aigle Noir 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 Royal Vision 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Le Messager Ngozi 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
5 Ngozi City 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
6 Muzinga 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
7 Rukinzo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Bumamuru 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
9 Never Give Up Academy 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Kayanza United 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
11 Flambeau du Centre 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
12 Olympic Star 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
13 Inter Star 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
14 Panthere Noir 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Musongati 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Young Star 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)