Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitebsk vs Neman

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Vitebsk
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Sadovnichiy I. In: Vasiljev A.
Out: Sadovnichiy I.
61'
Sub
Spataru D. In: Kravtsov M.
Out: Spataru D.
62'
Sub
Tonkevich V. In: Girs D.
Out: Tonkevich V.

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vitebsk
15%
Draws
27%
Neman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neman lately — more wins on the board than Vitebsk.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Vitebsk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%
Neman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitebsk Neman
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.54 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Neman
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs Vitebsk
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Neman vs Vitebsk
3:1
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Neman vs Vitebsk
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Neman vs Vitebsk
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zgomba M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Neman Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitebsk 86 / 100
Neman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitebsk Neman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitebsk scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Vitebsk went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Neman let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vitebsk VS Neman
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitebsk

(Home)
08 Aug
Vitebsk
1 : 0
Neman
01 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1
Vitebsk
25 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 2
Vitebsk
18 Jul
Ostrovets
2 : 3
Vitebsk
12 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 3
Vitebsk
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Neman

(Away)
08 Aug
Vitebsk
1 : 0
Neman
26 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 3
Neman
19 Jul
Soligorsk
1 : 2
Neman
11 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 1
Neman
04 Jul
Neman
0 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 16 10 4 2 30:14 34
2 Din. Minsk 14 10 3 1 26:12 33
3 ML Vitebsk 14 9 4 1 30:13 31
4 Dynamo Brest 18 9 3 6 30:17 30
5 FC Gomel 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
6 FC Minsk 18 8 4 6 25:23 28
7 Vitebsk 18 7 5 6 18:17 26
8 Neman 17 7 3 7 18:17 24
9 Zhodino 16 6 5 5 23:14 23
10 Slavia Mozyr 17 5 6 6 20:23 21
11 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 18 5 6 7 20:29 21
12 FK Baranovici 17 4 5 8 20:32 17
13 BATE 16 2 7 7 12:19 13
14 Dnepr Mogilev 18 2 7 9 16:29 13
15 Belshina 16 3 3 10 14:31 12
16 Naftan 17 2 4 11 16:40 10
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)