Sport Picks

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Vitebsk vs Petrikov

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023 Centralnyj Stadion, Vitebsk
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Kukushkin G.
31'
Sub
Tkachenko V. In: Matveenko A.
Out: Tkachenko V.
66'
Sub
Chervyakov Z. In: Vardanyan K.
Out: Chervyakov Z.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2023 game between Vitebsk and Petrikov finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vitebsk
15%
Draws
21%
Petrikov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitebsk come out ahead of Petrikov on wins alone.
  • Vitebsk are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 19%
Petrikov Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitebsk Petrikov
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.6 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Petrikov
2:1
Jun 25, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Vitebsk
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Teverov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Glinskiy V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Petrikov Compare

Top Goalscorer Kukushkin G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitebsk 67 / 100
Petrikov 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitebsk Petrikov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitebsk scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Petrikov conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vitebsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitebsk VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitebsk

(Home)
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
21 Aug
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Vitebsk
15 Aug
BATE
1 : 0
Vitebsk
08 Aug
Vitebsk
1 : 0
Neman
Page 1 of 6

Petrikov

(Away)
25 Nov
FK Lida
3 : 1
Petrikov
18 Nov
Petrikov
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
12 Nov
Niva Dolbizno
1 : 3
Petrikov
05 Nov
Petrikov
1 : 5
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
28 Oct
Vitebsk
2 : 1
Petrikov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32 26 3 3 86:30 81
2 Dnepr Mogilev 32 22 7 3 75:24 73
3 Vitebsk 32 23 4 5 68:22 73
4 Lokomotiv Gomel 32 19 5 8 55:40 62
5 ML Vitebsk 32 19 4 9 84:52 61
6 FK Baranovici 32 14 6 12 46:49 48
7 Zhodino Yuzhnoe 32 13 7 12 62:52 46
8 Volna Pinsk 32 12 7 13 41:49 43
9 Niva Dolbizno 32 12 5 15 53:66 41
10 FK Lida 32 12 5 15 44:48 41
11 Molodechno 32 11 8 13 51:56 41
12 Ostrovets 32 10 9 13 54:62 39
13 BumProm Gomel 32 10 8 14 45:62 38
14 Orsha 32 8 7 17 50:62 31
15 FC Slonim 32 5 7 20 26:63 22
16 Petrikov 32 6 4 22 33:72 22
17 Osipovichi 32 1 2 29 21:85 5
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Relegation)