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Vitesse vs Almere City Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie GelreDome, Arnhem
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Lawrence J.
47'
van de Blaak E.
53' Event
Druijf F.
Assist: Cornelisse E.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Vitesse and Almere City finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almere City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vitesse
15%
Draws
42%
Almere City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Vitesse haven't matched Almere City's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%
Almere City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse Almere City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.73 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Almere City
0:3
Mar 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Almere City
1:3
Oct 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Vitesse
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 Eredivisie
Vitesse vs Almere City
1:1
Dec 17, 2023 Eredivisie
Almere City vs Vitesse
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitesse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Druijf F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dors M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 34 / 100
Almere City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse Almere City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Vitesse scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Vitesse stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS Almere City
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

Almere City

(Away)
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 8 7 0 1 26:10 21
2 Almere City 8 5 1 2 18:7 16
3 Maastricht 8 5 1 2 12:15 16
4 Venlo 8 5 0 3 21:14 15
5 Roda 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
6 FC Emmen 8 5 0 3 18:17 15
7 Waalwijk 8 3 4 1 18:11 13
8 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 13:11 13
9 NAC Breda 8 4 1 3 17:17 13
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 8 4 0 4 20:16 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 8 3 1 4 13:17 10
14 Helmond Sport 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
15 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
16 Den Bosch 8 2 1 5 12:17 7
17 Dordrecht 8 2 1 5 12:23 7
18 De Graafschap 8 2 1 5 9:20 7
19 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
20 TOP Oss 8 2 0 6 8:13 6
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)