Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 GelreDome

Vitesse

3 - 3

FC Emmen

Our Tip

Match Events

Bannis N.

Assist: Hoogewerf D.

Beukers D.

Buttner A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Vitesse and FC Emmen finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Vitesse

22%

Draws

18%

FC Emmen

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Vitesse carry the better recent record into this one.
Vitesse are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Vitesse Clean Sheet 20%

FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vitesse	FC Emmen
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	9
Draws	9	8
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	2.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs FC Emmen

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

3:3

Sep 30, 2025 Eerste Divisie

FC Emmen vs Vitesse

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

2:4

Feb 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs FC Emmen

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Sep 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie

FC Emmen vs Vitesse

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

3:3

Feb 4, 2023 Eredivisie

FC Emmen vs Vitesse

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannis N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Buttner A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Postema R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 58 / 100

FC Emmen 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vitesse FC Emmen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Emmen conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Vitesse found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Vitesse went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS FC Emmen

2.13 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	44
16	TOP Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	44
17	Jong AZ Alkmaar	38	12	4	22	61:76	40
18	Helmond Sport	38	10	9	19	42:62	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	35