Sport Picks
Vitesse vs Jong AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie GelreDome, Arnhem 
AI Match Summary
Vitesse host Jong AZ Alkmaar in the Eerste Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Vitesse at 1.61 goals for, 1.11 against; Jong AZ Alkmaar at 2.2 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Vitesse slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 2.06) point toward Vitesse. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Jong AZ Alkmaar at 2.2 per game, Vitesse at 1.61.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 2.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong AZ Alkmaar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Vitesse found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Vitesse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vitesse
(Home)Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 44:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Venlo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 37:22 | 29 |
| 3 | Almere City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:14 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 6 | Roda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 33:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 23:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 33:31 | 17 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:30 | 16 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20:23 | 14 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25:31 | 12 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18:34 | 12 |
| 19 | Jong Utrecht | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 23:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Eindhoven FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18:31 | 11 |
