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Vitesse vs TOP Oss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie GelreDome, Arnhem
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Bannis N.
Assist: Zonneveld N.
53'
van der Venne R.
58'
Sub
Erkan M. In: Silva K.
Out: Erkan M.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Vitesse and TOP Oss finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Vitesse
30%
Draws
29%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitesse come out ahead of TOP Oss on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 14%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse TOP Oss
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs TOP Oss
2:1
Feb 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Vitesse
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs TOP Oss
0:0
May 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Vitesse
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs TOP Oss
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannis N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 30 / 100
TOP Oss 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOP Oss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vitesse scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vitesse stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS TOP Oss
1 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
02 Nov
Jong Ajax
1 : 1
Vitesse
28 Oct
Venlo
0 : 2
Vitesse
23 Oct
Vitesse
0 : 2
FC Emmen
16 Oct
Eindhoven FC
0 : 1
Vitesse
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

TOP Oss

(Away)
06 Nov
TOP Oss
1 : 1
Waalwijk
02 Nov
Heracles
2 : 0
TOP Oss
28 Oct
Zwolle
1 : 2
TOP Oss
23 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 3
Jong Ajax
16 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 1
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
5 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
6 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)