Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitesse vs TOP Oss

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie GelreDome, Arnhem
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Bannis N.
Assist: Zonneveld N.
53'
van der Venne R.
58'
Sub
Erkan M. In: Silva K.
Out: Erkan M.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Vitesse and TOP Oss finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Vitesse
15%
Draws
20%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitesse come out ahead of TOP Oss on wins alone.
  • Vitesse are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 20%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse TOP Oss
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.6 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.23 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs TOP Oss
2:1
Feb 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Vitesse
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs TOP Oss
0:0
May 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Vitesse
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs TOP Oss
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannis N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 85 / 100
TOP Oss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOP Oss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vitesse scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vitesse stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS TOP Oss
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
21 Aug
Vitesse
0 : 3
Almere City
17 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Vitesse
07 Aug
Vitesse
1 : 1
Waalwijk
Page 1 of 6

TOP Oss

(Away)
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
24 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 0
TOP Oss
15 Aug
FC Volendam
3 : 0
TOP Oss
07 Aug
TOP Oss
1 : 2
NAC Breda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 5 5 0 0 21:7 15
2 Maastricht 5 4 1 0 9:5 13
3 FC Emmen 5 4 0 1 15:12 12
4 Jong PSV 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
5 Almere City 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Vitesse 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
7 Venlo 5 3 0 2 13:9 9
8 Jong AZ Alkmaar 6 3 0 3 15:12 9
9 Roda 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
10 Waalwijk 5 1 4 0 10:8 7
11 NAC Breda 5 2 1 2 9:11 7
12 Jong Ajax 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
13 FC Volendam 5 2 0 3 14:10 6
14 Helmond Sport 5 1 2 2 9:9 5
15 Den Bosch 5 1 1 3 10:13 4
16 Eindhoven FC 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
17 Dordrecht 5 1 1 3 8:16 4
18 TOP Oss 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
19 De Graafschap 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
20 Jong Utrecht 6 0 1 5 5:15 1
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)