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Vitoria da Conquista vs Fluminense de Feira Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Cassio
23' Event
Santos A.
48' Event
Santos A.

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 game between Vitoria da Conquista and Fluminense de Feira finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Vitoria da Conquista
30%
Draws
51%
Fluminense de Feira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fluminense de Feira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense de Feira come out ahead of Vitoria da Conquista on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense de Feira taking it.
  • Regular Baiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 10%
Fluminense de Feira Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria da Conquista Fluminense de Feira
Matches Played 32 41
Wins 9 25
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Fluminense de Feira
2:2
May 4, 2025 Baiano 2
Fluminense de Feira vs Vitoria da Conquista
2:0
Jun 16, 2024 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Fluminense de Feira
0:1
Jun 28, 2023 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Fluminense de Feira
0:0
Feb 28, 2021 Baiano
Fluminense de Feira vs Vitoria da Conquista
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Fluminense de Feira Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Jesus
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria da Conquista 10 / 100
Fluminense de Feira 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria da Conquista Fluminense de Feira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense de Feira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria da Conquista's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Fluminense de Feira has conceded goals in 49% of their last 41 outings.

Solid form: Vitoria da Conquista remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria da Conquista VS Fluminense de Feira
1.13 Goals Scored 3.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria da Conquista

(Home)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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Fluminense de Feira

(Away)
02 Aug
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
SSA
26 Jul
SSA
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
19 Jul
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
Feira FC
12 Jul
Feira FC
0 : 0
Fluminense de Feira
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)