Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria da Conquista vs Fluminense de Feira

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria da Conquista play Fluminense de Feira in the Baiano 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vitoria da Conquista averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Fluminense de Feira averaged 2.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Vitoria da Conquista won 0, Fluminense de Feira won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Vitoria da Conquista and 2.13 for Fluminense de Feira. This points to a Fluminense de Feira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vitoria da Conquista
6%
Draws
90%
Fluminense de Feira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fluminense de Feira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense de Feira has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vitoria da Conquista.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Fluminense de Feira.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Baiano 2 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 10%
Fluminense de Feira Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria da Conquista Fluminense de Feira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Fluminense de Feira
2:2
May 4, 2025 Baiano 2
Fluminense de Feira vs Vitoria da Conquista
2:0
Jun 16, 2024 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Fluminense de Feira
0:1
Jun 28, 2023 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Fluminense de Feira
0:0
Feb 28, 2021 Baiano
Fluminense de Feira vs Vitoria da Conquista
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Fluminense de Feira Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Jesus
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria da Conquista 10 / 100
Fluminense de Feira 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria da Conquista Fluminense de Feira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria da Conquista scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Fluminense de Feira let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Vitoria da Conquista went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fluminense de Feira lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria da Conquista VS Fluminense de Feira
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense de Feira981033:525
2SSA970219:521
3Barreiras970220:821
4Feira FC961227:419
5Redencao942316:1114
6Leonico931516:2410
7Jacobina92169:237
8Grapiuna92168:267
9Vitoria da Conquista91359:156
10Camacari90095:410