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Vitoria da Conquista vs Leonico Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
da Silva Paraiso R.
64' Event
Rander

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vitoria da Conquista
15%
Draws
51%
Leonico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Leonico haven't matched Vitoria da Conquista's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 20%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria da Conquista Leonico
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Leonico
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Leonico
0:0
Jul 3, 2024 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Leonico
3:1
Jun 18, 2023 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Vitoria da Conquista
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Paraiso R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Leonico Compare

Top Goalscorer Rander
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria da Conquista 32 / 100
Leonico 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria da Conquista Leonico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonico has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Leonico's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vitoria da Conquista scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria da Conquista VS Leonico
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria da Conquista

(Home)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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Leonico

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)