Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ribeiro Cruz K.
58' Event
Ribeiro Cruz K.

AI Match Summary

SSA in this Baiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vitoria da Conquista
15%
Draws
51%
SSA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria da Conquista haven't matched SSA's recent run of results.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria da Conquista taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SSA here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 10%
SSA Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria da Conquista SSA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA
1:1
Jul 14, 2024 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs SSA
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro Cruz K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria da Conquista 38 / 100
SSA 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria da Conquista SSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria da Conquista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: SSA has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Vitoria da Conquista scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

SSA let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria da Conquista VS SSA
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria da Conquista

(Home)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 6

SSA

(Away)
02 Aug
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
SSA
26 Jul
SSA
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)