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Vitoria ES U20 vs Tupy U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Capixaba U20
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AI Match Summary

Vitoria ES U20 in this Capixaba U20 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria ES U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vitoria ES U20
15%
Draws
51%
Tupy U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tupy U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tupy U20 haven't matched Vitoria ES U20's recent run of results.
  • Vitoria ES U20 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Capixaba U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vitoria ES U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Tupy U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ES U20 Tupy U20
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.9 2
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Capixaba U20
Vitoria ES U20 vs Tupy U20
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria ES U20 40 / 100
Tupy U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ES U20 Tupy U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Vitoria ES U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Tupy U20 has conceded goals in 58% of their last 12 outings.

Vitoria ES U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria ES U20 VS Tupy U20
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria ES U20

(Home)
18 May
Rio Branco ES U20
3 : 0
Vitoria ES U20
13 May
Vitoria ES U20
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES U20
06 May
Vilavelhense U20
1 : 0
Vitoria ES U20
26 Apr
Vitoria ES U20
2 : 0
Vilavelhense U20
18 Apr
Sport-ES U20
2 : 4
Vitoria ES U20
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Tupy U20

(Away)
15 May
Porto Vitoria U20
5 : 1
Tupy U20
09 May
Tupy U20
0 : 4
Porto Vitoria U20
30 Apr
Forte U20
0 : 2
Tupy U20
25 Apr
Tupy U20
2 : 1
Forte U20
10 Apr
Pinheiros U20
0 : 2
Tupy U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria U20 8 7 0 1 35:8 21
2 Rio Branco ES U20 8 6 2 0 23:6 20
3 Vilavelhense U20 8 5 1 2 15:14 16
4 Forte U20 8 5 0 3 16:13 15
5 Tupy U20 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
6 Vitoria ES U20 8 3 0 5 19:20 9
7 Pinheiros U20 8 2 1 5 7:18 7
8 Sport-ES U20 8 1 1 6 12:21 4
9 CTE Colatina U20 8 0 0 8 6:42 0
Promotion - Capixaba U20 (Play Offs)