Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria ES vs CA Itapemirim

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Capixaba 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vitoria ES
15%
Draws
0%
CA Itapemirim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria ES lately — more wins on the board than CA Itapemirim.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria ES's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vitoria ES here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 20%
CA Itapemirim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ES CA Itapemirim
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 23 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.8 0.8
Goals Conceded 1 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Vitoria ES
0:5
Mar 14, 2020 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Vitoria ES
0:3
Mar 30, 2019 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs CA Itapemirim
2:1
Mar 24, 2019 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Vitoria ES
2:2
Feb 3, 2019 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs CA Itapemirim
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria ES 85 / 100
CA Itapemirim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ES CA Itapemirim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Itapemirim has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

CA Itapemirim's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vitoria ES scored in 75% of their last 44 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria ES VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria ES

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 9

CA Itapemirim

(Away)
11 Mar
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Vitoria ES
02 Mar
Rio Branco ES
2 : 1
CA Itapemirim
26 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Nova Venecia
15 Feb
Serra
2 : 0
CA Itapemirim
09 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serra 9 7 1 1 16:7 22
2 Real Noroeste 9 5 3 1 20:10 18
3 Galatas 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
4 Rio Branco-VN 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
5 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 5 1 14:8 14
6 CA Itapemirim 9 3 5 1 14:8 14
7 Vitoria ES 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
8 Tupy 9 1 2 6 7:17 5
9 Doze Futebol Clube 9 1 1 7 8:23 4
10 SAO Mateus 9 0 2 7 5:20 2
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2018 (Play Offs)