Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024

Oliveira do Douro

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes B play Oliveira do Douro in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vitoria Guimaraes B averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Oliveira do Douro averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Vitoria Guimaraes B won 0, Oliveira do Douro won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 3, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Vitoria Guimaraes B and 1.13 for Oliveira do Douro. This points to a Vitoria Guimaraes B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Vitoria Guimaraes B

32%

Draws

26%

Oliveira do Douro

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Vitoria Guimaraes B picked up more points recently compared to Oliveira do Douro.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 21%

Oliveira do Douro Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vitoria Guimaraes B	Oliveira do Douro
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	13	7
Draws	13	8
Losses	9	15
Goals Scored	1.14	1.17
Goals Conceded	0.91	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Oliveira do Douro vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Oliveira do Douro

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes B 42 / 100

Oliveira do Douro 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vitoria Guimaraes B Oliveira do Douro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vitoria Guimaraes B or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vitoria Guimaraes B attacking → ← attacking Oliveira do Douro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes B scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Oliveira do Douro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Vitoria Guimaraes B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Oliveira do Douro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 29

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Amarante FC	26	17	8	1	40:15	59
2	Sao Joao de Ver	26	12	9	5	27:18	45
3	Gondomar	26	12	7	7	28:20	43
4	AD Marco 09	26	11	8	7	29:22	41
5	Rebordosa	26	8	12	6	27:23	36
6	Paredes	26	9	8	9	31:25	35
7	SC Salgueiros	26	9	8	9	35:26	35
8	Vitoria Guimaraes B	26	8	10	8	35:32	34
9	Beira Mar	26	8	10	8	31:31	34
10	Florgrade	26	8	9	9	24:24	33
11	Oliveira do Douro	26	6	8	12	25:33	26
12	Valadares Gaia FC	26	6	6	14	22:47	24
13	ACDR Lamelas	26	7	3	16	19:39	24
14	Vila Mea	26	6	4	16	27:45	22