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Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs FC Porto U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Venancio R.

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
15%
Draws
53%
FC Porto U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Porto U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Porto U19 lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Guimaraes U19.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on FC Porto U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Porto U19 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes U19 FC Porto U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.38 2.69
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs FC Porto U19
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
3:0
Aug 15, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs FC Porto U19
1:3
May 10, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
3:2
Mar 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs FC Porto U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Venancio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Porto U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 10 / 100
FC Porto U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 FC Porto U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: FC Porto U19 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 VS FC Porto U19
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes U19

(Home)
10 Oct
Gil Vicente U19
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
26 Sept
Famalicao U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
Page 1 of 6

FC Porto U19

(Away)
10 Oct
Braga U19
2 : 4
FC Porto U19
19 Sept
FC Porto U19
0 : 0
Rio Ave U19
12 Sept
FC Porto U19
4 : 0
Famalicao U19
08 Sept
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Manchester City U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 8 4 1 3 8:9 13
3 Rio Ave U19 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
4 Gil Vicente U19 7 3 2 2 5:3 11
5 Braga U19 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
6 Feirense U19 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
7 Famalicao U19 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
4 Santa Clara U19 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
5 Torreense U19 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
6 Mafra U19 7 2 3 2 7:13 9
7 Casa Pia U19 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
8 Leiria U19 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
9 SC Farense U19 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
10 Alverca U19 7 0 3 4 7:14 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)