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Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Moreirense U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 host Moreirense U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 at 1.5 goals for, 1.4 against; Moreirense U19 at 1.14 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Vitoria Guimaraes U19 slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.13, favoring Vitoria Guimaraes U19. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
35%
Draws
15%
Moreirense U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitoria Guimaraes U19 come out ahead of Moreirense U19 on wins alone.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes U19 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Moreirense U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Moreirense U19
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Moreirense U19
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 76 / 100
Moreirense U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Moreirense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Moreirense U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 VS Moreirense U19
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes U19

(Home)
31 Oct
Vizela U19
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
24 Oct
Feirense U19
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
17 Oct
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
4 : 1
Academico Viseu U19
10 Oct
Gil Vicente U19
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
26 Sept
Famalicao U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Page 1 of 6

Moreirense U19

(Away)
31 Oct
Famalicao U19
3 : 1
Moreirense U19
24 Oct
Vizela U19
2 : 2
Moreirense U19
17 Oct
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Feirense U19
11 Oct
Academico Viseu U19
1 : 0
Moreirense U19
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 11 6 2 3 14:11 20
2 FC Porto U19 10 6 1 3 23:12 19
3 Rio Ave U19 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
4 Gil Vicente U19 10 4 3 3 9:10 15
5 Feirense U19 10 4 2 4 7:8 14
6 Academico Viseu U19 10 4 1 5 17:13 13
7 Famalicao U19 11 3 4 4 14:16 13
8 Braga U19 10 3 3 4 13:14 12
9 Moreirense U19 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
10 Vizela U19 10 2 3 5 10:20 9
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 10 5 4 1 15:11 19
2 Benfica U19 9 5 3 1 20:7 18
3 Santa Clara U19 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
4 Torreense U19 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
5 Casa Pia U19 10 3 4 3 11:10 13
6 Oriental U19 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
7 Mafra U19 9 3 3 3 9:14 12
8 SC Farense U19 10 2 3 5 16:22 9
9 Alverca U19 10 2 3 5 14:17 9
10 Leiria U19 9 1 3 5 8:18 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)