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Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Rio Ave U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Moreira D.
45' Event
Branco J.

AI Match Summary

Rio Ave U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Ave U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
22%
Draws
18%
Rio Ave U19
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Rio Ave U19 have won more games recently than Vitoria Guimaraes U19.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes U19 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Rio Ave U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Rio Ave U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 1
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Rio Ave U19
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
4:2
Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Rio Ave U19
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Rio Ave U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rio Ave U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Branco J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 56 / 100
Rio Ave U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Rio Ave U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Rio Ave U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Rio Ave U19 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 VS Rio Ave U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto U1918161162:1949
2Gil Vicente U1918102631:2332
3Rio Ave U1918101732:3131
4Famalicao U191893635:2930
5Vitoria Guimaraes U191883722:2727
6Braga U191883732:2627
7Vizela U191854930:3919
8Pacos Ferreira U191854922:3719
9Moreirense U1918441020:2716
10Chaves U1918051310:385
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica U1918106231:1436
2Leiria U191886430:2330
3Sporting CP U191885527:1529
4Santa Clara U191877424:1728
5Academico Viseu U191859423:1924
6Torreense U191864817:2022
7Alverca U191863923:2621
8Belenenses U191855813:2320
9Tondela U191845911:2617
10Mafra U191836922:3815