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Vitoria Guimaraes vs Academica

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes host Academica in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Academica have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Vitoria Guimaraes have conceded 1.13 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Vitoria Guimaraes slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2016, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.25) back Academica to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vitoria Guimaraes
39%
Draws
31%
Academica
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Academica lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Guimaraes.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 19%
Academica Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes Academica
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 11
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2016 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:0
Oct 24, 2015 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Academica
1:1
May 23, 2015 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:4
Jan 17, 2015 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Academica
4:0
May 4, 2014 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Vitoria Guimaraes
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes 31 / 100
Academica 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes Academica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria Guimaraes scored in 71% of their last 24 outings.

Defensive concern: Academica conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Vitoria Guimaraes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes VS Academica
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%