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Vitoria Guimaraes vs Academica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Guedes M.
54' Event
Pinheiro A.

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vitoria Guimaraes
20%
Draws
44%
Academica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Academica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Academica lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Guimaraes.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 18%
Academica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes Academica
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.36 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Academica
2:0
Mar 6, 2016 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:0
Oct 24, 2015 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Academica
1:1
May 23, 2015 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:4
Jan 17, 2015 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Academica
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes Compare

Top Goalscorer Guedes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinheiro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Academica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes 67 / 100
Academica 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes Academica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria Guimaraes found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (25 games).

Academica let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Vitoria Guimaraes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes VS Academica
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes

(Home)
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
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Academica

(Away)
18 Sept
Real SC
1 : 4
Academica
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1
Academica
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Lusitania FC
21 Aug
Tondela
0 : 2
Academica
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