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Vitoria Guimaraes vs AFS

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sun, Jul 20, 2025
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
90' Event
Oliveira N.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Vitoria Guimaraes
35%
Draws
40%
AFS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have won more games recently than AFS.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 22%
AFS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes AFS
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Portugal
AFS vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1:1
Dec 17, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs AFS
0:1
Nov 28, 2025 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs AFS
4:0
Jul 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Vitoria Guimaraes vs AFS
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs AFS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AFS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes 37 / 100
AFS 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes AFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria Guimaraes scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

AFS let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Vitoria Guimaraes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes VS AFS
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes

(Home)
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
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AFS

(Away)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0
Feirense
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
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