Sport Picks
Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães 
AI Match Summary
Vitoria Guimaraes host FC Porto in the Liga Portugal. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Vitoria Guimaraes at 1.44 goals for, 1.04 against; FC Porto at 1.63 for, 0.8 against. Past meetings favor FC Porto slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back FC Porto to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and FC Porto come out ahead of Vitoria Guimaraes on wins alone.
- Vitoria Guimaraes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Guimaraes | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitoria Guimaraes found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
FC Porto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Vitoria Guimaraes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria Guimaraes
(Home)FC Porto
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela da Amadora | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | 2 |
