Sport Picks
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães 
AI Match Summary
Vitoria Guimaraes host Maritimo in the Liga Portugal. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Vitoria Guimaraes at 1.38 goals for, 1.24 against; Maritimo at 1.14 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Vitoria Guimaraes slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2023, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.06) point toward Vitoria Guimaraes. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Maritimo lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Guimaraes.
- Vitoria Guimaraes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Vitoria Guimaraes have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Guimaraes | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitoria Guimaraes's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Maritimo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Vitoria Guimaraes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria Guimaraes
(Home)Maritimo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
