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Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nottingham Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vitoria Guimaraes
35%
Draws
32%
Nottingham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Nottingham have won more games recently than Vitoria Guimaraes.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 20%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes Nottingham
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nottingham
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes 49 / 100
Nottingham 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes Nottingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Nottingham has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Vitoria Guimaraes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes VS Nottingham
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes

(Home)
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
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Nottingham

(Away)
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1
Coventry
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2
Nottingham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2
Leeds
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