Sport Picks
Vitoria Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga 3 Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira, Cernache do Bonjardim 
Match Events
43'
43'
Tomas N.
55'
55'
Dias A.
Assist: Alvaro E.
62'
62'
Cesinha
AI Match Summary
CF Os Belenenses in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Os Belenenses.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Os Belenenses
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to CF Os Belenenses lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Sernache.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on CF Os Belenenses taking it.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 12%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Sernache | CF Os Belenenses |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga 3
Vitoria Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vitoria Sernache Compare
Top Goalscorer Dias A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
CF Os Belenenses Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomas N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bruno L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vitoria Sernache 10 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vitoria Sernache CF Os Belenenses
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Vitoria Sernache scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
CF Os Belenenses let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
Solid form: Vitoria Sernache remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vitoria Sernache VS CF Os Belenenses
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria Sernache
(Home) 19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1 Varzim
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3 Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1 Varzim
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
16 Aug
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Covilha
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1 Louletano
17 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 3
CF Os Belenenses
(Away) 19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0 Santarem
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
15 Aug
Louletano
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
24 Jul
Benfica
5 : 1 CF Os Belenenses
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Leca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Santarem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
