Sport Picks
Vitoria Sernache vs Malveira Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Sernache
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vitoria Sernache have won more games recently than Malveira.
- Win probability leans Vitoria Sernache's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 68%
Malveira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Sernache | Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Malveira vs Vitoria Sernache
0:3
May 3, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Sernache vs Malveira
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vitoria Sernache 59 / 100
Malveira 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vitoria Sernache Malveira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vitoria Sernache Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitoria Sernache found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Malveira conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Malveira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vitoria Sernache VS Malveira
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria Sernache
(Home) 19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1 Varzim
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3 Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1 Varzim
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
16 Aug
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Covilha
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1 Louletano
17 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 3
Malveira
(Away) 13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1 Malveira
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0 GD Os Nazarenos
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3 Mafra
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0 Malveira
16 Aug
Malveira
0 : 1 Os Marialvas
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1 Malveira
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0 Malveira
31 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1 Malveira
17 May
Louletano
1 : 1 Malveira
03 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Malveira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 2 | SC Vianense | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 3 | GD Braganca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Rebordosa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 2 | SC Vianense | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 3 | GD Braganca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Rebordosa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 2 | SC Vianense | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 3 | GD Braganca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Rebordosa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 2 | SC Vianense | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 3 | GD Braganca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Rebordosa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 2 | SC Vianense | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 3 | GD Braganca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Rebordosa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Malveira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Malveira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Malveira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Malveira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Malveira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Main)
