Sport Picks

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Vitoria vs ABC

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Igor Bahia
26' Event
Renato Kayzer
40'
Igor Bahia

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 6-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vitoria
30%
Draws
47%
ABC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • ABC have won more games recently than Vitoria.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on ABC taking it.
  • ABC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vitoria here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 14%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ABC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
ABC vs Vitoria
3:4
May 21, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Vitoria vs ABC
6:2
Feb 10, 2024 Copa do Nordeste
Vitoria vs ABC
3:1
Aug 3, 2023 Serie B
Vitoria vs ABC
2:0
Apr 23, 2023 Serie B
ABC vs Vitoria
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rene
2 Goals
Assists Leader Renato Kayzer
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

ABC Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Bahia
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wallyson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 11 / 100
ABC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

ABC let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Vitoria has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS ABC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
06 Aug
Vitoria
4 : 0
Athletico-PR
04 Aug
Athletico-PR
2 : 0
Vitoria
30 Jul
Vitoria
0 : 4
Palmeiras
26 Jul
Remo
2 : 0
Vitoria
23 Jul
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

ABC

(Away)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
28 Jun
ABC
1 : 1
AE Altos
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vitoria 1
Ceara 0
ABC 4
Juazeirense 0
Confianca 1
Fortaleza 2
Sport Recife 1
ASA 0
Semi-finals
Vitoria 10
ABC 5
Fortaleza 3
Sport Recife 2
Final
Vitoria 4
Fortaleza 2