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Vitoria vs Botafogo PB

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Osvaldo
35' Event
Bastos R.
36' Event
Dudu Hatamoto

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vitoria
15%
Draws
51%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo PB taking it.
  • Vitoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo PB, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 19%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Botafogo PB
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Vitoria vs Botafogo PB
1:2
May 18, 2022 Serie C
Vitoria vs Botafogo PB
0:1
Nov 19, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
Vitoria vs Botafogo PB
2:3
Oct 27, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
Botafogo PB vs Vitoria
1:1
Jul 22, 2020 Copa do Nordeste
Botafogo PB vs Vitoria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Osvaldo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dudu Hatamoto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 28 / 100
Botafogo PB 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Botafogo PB conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Botafogo PB registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Botafogo PB
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3
Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
29 Aug
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Vitoria
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Botafogo PB

(Away)
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
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