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Vitoria vs Botafogo PB

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Osvaldo
35' Event
Bastos R.
36' Event
Dudu Hatamoto

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Botafogo PB advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vitoria
33%
Draws
40%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo PB taking it.
  • Vitoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo PB, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 16%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Botafogo PB
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Vitoria vs Botafogo PB
1:2
May 18, 2022 Serie C
Vitoria vs Botafogo PB
0:1
Nov 19, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
Vitoria vs Botafogo PB
2:3
Oct 27, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
Botafogo PB vs Vitoria
1:1
Jul 22, 2020 Copa do Nordeste
Botafogo PB vs Vitoria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Osvaldo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dudu Hatamoto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 28 / 100
Botafogo PB 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Botafogo PB conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Vitoria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Botafogo PB
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
23 Jul
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Vitoria
16 Jul
Vitoria
1 : 0
Vasco
06 Jun
Vitoria
2 : 1
Fortaleza
03 Jun
Fortaleza
1 : 2
Vitoria
30 May
Santos
3 : 1
Vitoria
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Botafogo PB

(Away)
12 Jul
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Confianca
06 Jul
Anapolis
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
30 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Brusque
20 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
15 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
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