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Vitoria vs Bragantino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Barradao, Salvador
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria host Bragantino in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Vitoria at 1.38 goals for, 1.53 against; Bragantino at 1.55 for, 1.06 against. Past meetings favor Bragantino slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.31) point toward Bragantino. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Vitoria
30%
Draws
58%
Bragantino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bragantino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria haven't matched Bragantino's recent run of results.
  • Bragantino are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 18%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Bragantino
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A
Bragantino vs Vitoria
2:0
Dec 3, 2025 Serie A
Bragantino vs Vitoria
4:0
Jul 20, 2025 Serie A
Vitoria vs Bragantino
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Serie A
Vitoria vs Bragantino
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 Serie A
Bragantino vs Vitoria
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 23 / 100
Bragantino 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Bragantino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bragantino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Bragantino let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Vitoria has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Bragantino
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
06 Nov
Vitoria
0 : 3
Fluminense
31 Oct
Coritiba
2 : 0
Vitoria
24 Oct
Vitoria
1 : 1
Athletico-PR
19 Oct
Corinthians
1 : 1
Vitoria
11 Oct
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Vitoria
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Bragantino

(Away)
02 Nov
Bragantino
2 : 1
Santos
28 Oct
Bragantino
3 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
24 Oct
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Bragantino
18 Oct
Remo
1 : 1
Bragantino
13 Oct
Bragantino
4 : 2
Cruzeiro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)