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Vitoria vs Internacional

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Rene
Assist: Erick
35'
Caique Goncalves
38'
Bruno Gomes

AI Match Summary

Vitoria in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Vitoria
17%
Draws
13%
Internacional
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Vitoria have won more games recently than Internacional.
  • Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Internacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Internacional
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Internacional
2:0
Nov 5, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Internacional
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Vitoria
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Vitoria
3:1
Jun 16, 2024 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Internacional
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rene
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarzia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Internacional Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 77 / 100
Internacional 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Internacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Internacional has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vitoria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Internacional
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
23 Jul
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Vitoria
16 Jul
Vitoria
1 : 0
Vasco
06 Jun
Vitoria
2 : 1
Fortaleza
03 Jun
Fortaleza
1 : 2
Vitoria
30 May
Santos
3 : 1
Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

Internacional

(Away)
23 Jul
Internacional
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
31 May
Bragantino
3 : 1
Internacional
23 May
Vitoria
2 : 0
Internacional
16 May
Internacional
4 : 1
Vasco
12 May
Internacional
3 : 2
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras19135133:1444
2Flamengo RJ18114335:1637
3Athletico-PR20113628:1936
4Fluminense1995529:2432
5Bragantino1993726:2030
6Bahia1986528:2430
7Corinthians1976621:1927
8Cruzeiro1976626:2927
9Botafogo RJ1975733:3226
10Coritiba1975725:2726
11Vitoria1975722:2526
12Sao Paulo1974824:2225
13Atletico-MG1974823:2425
14Santos2057829:3322
15Internacional2056922:2621
16Gremio1956821:2521
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Mirassol1854920:2519
19Remo1946921:3218
20Chapecoense-SC20171219:4110
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)