Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria vs Vasco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Caca
56'
Luan Candido
61'
Sub
Matheusinho In: Fabiano
Out: Matheusinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vitoria
20%
Draws
52%
Vasco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria have won more games recently than Vasco.
  • Model gives Vasco a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Vitoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 16%
Vasco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Vasco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Vitoria vs Vasco
0:2
Aug 27, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Vasco vs Vitoria
1:0
Jul 16, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Vasco
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Vitoria
4:3
May 10, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Vasco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vasco Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 19 / 100
Vasco 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Vasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Vasco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Vasco
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
07 Oct
Vitoria
4 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3
Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

Vasco

(Away)
10 Oct
Vasco
0 : 0
Remo
07 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2
Vasco
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
TBD -
Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
TBD -
TBD -
Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
TBD -
TBD -
Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
TBD -
Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
America RN -
TBD -
TBD -
Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
America MG -
TBD -
America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
TBD -
Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario MS -
Confianca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tombense -
TBD -
TBD -
Oratorio -
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
Maringa FC -
Retro -
TBD -
TBD -
Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
TBD -
Goias -
Trem -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense-PI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville -
TBD -
TBD -
CSA -
Sao Bernardo -
TBD -
TBD -
Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Maranhao -
Ceara -
TBD -
Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso -
TBD -
TBD -
Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
TBD -
Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
TBD -
ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
TBD -
TBD -
Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
TBD -
TBD -
AE Altos -
Avai -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Maracana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Capital FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Manaus FC -
Londrina -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
TBD -
Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Capital -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario VG -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
TBD -
Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
Ponte Preta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SER Caxias do Sul -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarany de Bage -
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
TBD -
Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacuipense -
Mixto -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
TBD -
TBD -
Lagarto -
Manauara -
TBD -
TBD -
Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
TBD -
Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
TBD -
TBD -
Sousa -
CRB -
TBD -
Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
TBD -
TBD -
Amazonas -
Figueirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Azuriz -
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
TBD -
America MG 2
Tirol 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
TBD -
Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
TBD -
SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
TBD -
Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional 1
Gremio 3
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 3
Vasco 3
Vitoria 0
Palmeiras 3
Santos 0
Semi-finals
Gremio -
Atletico-MG -
Vasco -
Palmeiras -
Final
TBD -
TBD -