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Vittoriosa vs Gudja

Malta Malta

Challenge League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mosquera Larrahondo S. D.
84' Event
Schembri S.

AI Match Summary

Vittoriosa in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vittoriosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vittoriosa
15%
Draws
39%
Gudja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vittoriosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gudja have won more games recently than Vittoriosa.
  • Model gives Vittoriosa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gudja have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 18%
Gudja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vittoriosa Gudja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Gudja
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Gudja
2:3
Mar 3, 2026 Challenge Cup
Gudja vs Vittoriosa
2:1
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge League
Gudja vs Vittoriosa
1:0
Feb 11, 2019 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Gudja
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vittoriosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosquera Larrahondo S. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schembri S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gudja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vittoriosa 67 / 100
Gudja 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vittoriosa Gudja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vittoriosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Vittoriosa scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Gudja has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Vittoriosa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vittoriosa VS Gudja
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vittoriosa

(Home)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Vittoriosa
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1
Vittoriosa
Page 1 of 6

Gudja

(Away)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
13 Sept
Gudja
0 : 3
Melita
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
12 Apr
Mgarr
0 : 2
Gudja
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tarxien 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Victoria Hotspurs 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Fgura 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
4 Vittoriosa 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
5 Swieqi 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
6 Sirens 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Melita 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 Naxxar Lions 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
9 Pieta 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
10 Mgarr 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Santa Lucia 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Attard 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
13 St. Andrews 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
14 Zurrieq 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
15 Gudja 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Zebbug 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League (Relegation Group)