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Vittoriosa vs Zebbug

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2025/2026 Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Tegwi T.

AI Match Summary

Zebbug in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zebbug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Vittoriosa
35%
Draws
40%
Zebbug
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zebbug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Vittoriosa at 1.1 per game, Zebbug at 1.03.
  • Win probability leans Zebbug's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 13%
Zebbug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vittoriosa Zebbug
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Zebbug
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Challenge League
Zebbug vs Vittoriosa
0:4
Feb 7, 2021 Challenge League
Zebbug vs Vittoriosa
3:0
Oct 22, 2020 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Zebbug
2:1
Apr 11, 2020 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Zebbug
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vittoriosa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zebbug Compare

Top Goalscorer Tegwi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vittoriosa 14 / 100
Zebbug 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vittoriosa Zebbug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zebbug Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zebbug's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Vittoriosa's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Vittoriosa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vittoriosa VS Zebbug
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vittoriosa

(Home)
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1
Vittoriosa
15 Mar
Mgarr
1 : 1
Vittoriosa
08 Mar
Vittoriosa
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
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Zebbug

(Away)
18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1
Marsa
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
15 Mar
Zurrieq
3 : 3
Zebbug
08 Mar
Zebbug
0 : 2
Mgarr
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