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Viveiro vs Estradense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pedrosa D.
64' Event
Gerard P. H.
75' Event
Vidal B.

AI Match Summary

Estradense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estradense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Viveiro
30%
Draws
31%
Estradense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Viveiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Estradense have won more games recently than Viveiro.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Viveiro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Estradense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Viveiro Clean Sheet 68%
Estradense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viveiro Estradense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Viveiro
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Estradense
0:3
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Viveiro
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Estradense
3:4
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Estradense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viveiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrosa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gerard P. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viveiro 50 / 100
Estradense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viveiro Estradense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viveiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estradense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Viveiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Estradense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Viveiro VS Estradense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Viveiro

(Home)
10 May
Viveiro
0 : 1
Compostela
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
25 Apr
Estradense
2 : 0
Viveiro
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

Estradense

(Away)
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5
Pontevedra
23 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Estradense
16 May
Estradense
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
01 May
Compostela
2 : 1
Estradense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)