Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

0 - 0

Poggibonsi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

40%

Draws

29%

Poggibonsi

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Poggibonsi have won more games recently than Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 27%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 20%

Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	Poggibonsi
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	1	7
Draws	14	9
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group E

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Poggibonsi

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Poggibonsi vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Poggibonsi

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group E

Poggibonsi vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Jan 31, 2016 Serie D - Group E

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Poggibonsi

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 32 / 100

Poggibonsi 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Poggibonsi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Poggibonsi conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro VS Poggibonsi

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Grosseto	34	22	6	6	58:25	72
2	Tau	34	18	9	7	53:33	63
3	Prato	34	20	5	9	49:29	63
4	Siena	34	17	9	8	57:35	60
5	Seravezza Pozzi	34	15	12	7	42:29	57
6	Terranuova Traiana	34	14	9	11	28:30	51
7	Foligno	34	14	9	11	45:37	51
8	Scandicci	34	11	15	8	39:32	48
9	Montevarchi	34	10	16	8	28:32	46
10	Sporting Trestina	34	10	12	12	40:42	42
11	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	9	13	12	30:35	40
12	Ghiviborgo	34	10	10	14	42:44	40
13	Orvietana	34	9	11	14	33:37	38
14	Follonica Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36:49	37
15	Camaiore Calcio	34	9	8	17	41:54	35
16	Poggibonsi	34	7	10	17	29:46	31
17	Cannara	34	6	8	20	24:59	26
18	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	34	2	16	16	20:46	22