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Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro play Sporting Trestina in the Serie D - Group E. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Sporting Trestina averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro won 0, Sporting Trestina won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro and 1.38 for Sporting Trestina. This points to a Sporting Trestina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
30%
Draws
34%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Trestina has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group E provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 17%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 14 12
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
3:1
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Sporting Trestina
1:2
Mar 24, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Sporting Trestina vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Compare

Top Goalscorer Stumpo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sporting Trestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Nouri Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 36 / 100
Sporting Trestina 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Sporting Trestina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Sporting Trestina let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Trestina lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro VS Sporting Trestina
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622