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Vizela U19 vs Gil Vicente U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vizela U19 play Gil Vicente U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vizela U19 averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Gil Vicente U19 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Vizela U19 won 1, Gil Vicente U19 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 13, 2025 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Vizela U19 and 1.25 for Gil Vicente U19. This points to a Gil Vicente U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vizela U19
19%
Draws
48%
Gil Vicente U19
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Gil Vicente U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vizela U19 picked up more points recently compared to Gil Vicente U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Vizela U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Gil Vicente U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vizela U19 Gil Vicente U19
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vizela U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
3:3
Aug 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs Vizela U19
4:0
May 11, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs Vizela U19
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vizela U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
2:4
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs Vizela U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vizela U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andrade J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gil Vicente U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Couteiro T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vizela U19 34 / 100
Gil Vicente U19 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vizela U19 Gil Vicente U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gil Vicente U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vizela U19 attacking → ← attacking Gil Vicente U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vizela U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Gil Vicente U19 let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Vizela U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gil Vicente U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 43
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Porto U1918161162:1949
2Gil Vicente U1918102631:2332
3Rio Ave U1918101732:3131
4Famalicao U191893635:2930
5Vitoria Guimaraes U191883722:2727
6Braga U191883732:2627
7Vizela U191854930:3919
8Pacos Ferreira U191854922:3719
9Moreirense U1918441020:2716
10Chaves U1918051310:385
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Benfica U1918106231:1436
2Leiria U191886430:2330
3Sporting CP U191885527:1529
4Santa Clara U191877424:1728
5Academico Viseu U191859423:1924
6Torreense U191864817:2022
7Alverca U191863923:2621
8Belenenses U191855813:2320
9Tondela U191845911:2617
10Mafra U191836922:3815