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VMA vs Simrishamn

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
VMA Logo

VMA

0 - 3
FT
Simrishamn Logo

Simrishamn

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 game between VMA and Simrishamn finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simrishamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
VMA
15%
Draws
21%
Simrishamn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VMA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Simrishamn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • VMA are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
VMA Clean Sheet 20%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VMA Simrishamn
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.44
Goals Conceded 3 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs VMA
4:0
Jun 22, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
VMA vs Simrishamn
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VMA 36 / 100
Simrishamn 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VMA Simrishamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simrishamn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

VMA found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Simrishamn has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Simrishamn
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VMA

(Home)
22 Oct
Hassleholms IF
7 : 0
VMA
15 Oct
VMA
0 : 4
Kristianstad
08 Oct
Simrishamn
4 : 0
VMA
01 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
0 : 1
VMA
23 Sept
VMA
2 : 3
Balkan
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Simrishamn

(Away)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)