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Vocem vs Sao-Carlense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2023 game between Vocem and Sao-Carlense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vocem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Vocem
30%
Draws
28%
Sao-Carlense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vocem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Vocem haven't matched Sao-Carlense's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vocem taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sao-Carlense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vocem Clean Sheet 20%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vocem Sao-Carlense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Vocem
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista A4
Vocem vs Sao-Carlense
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Vocem
2:0
Aug 13, 2023 Paulista A4
Vocem vs Sao-Carlense
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Vocem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vocem 42 / 100
Sao-Carlense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vocem Sao-Carlense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sao-Carlense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Vocem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vocem found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Vocem VS Sao-Carlense
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vocem

(Home)
04 Apr
Sao Caetano
0 : 2
Vocem
28 Mar
Vocem
0 : 1
Jacarei FC
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
Vocem
2 : 1
Lemense
18 Mar
Comercial
3 : 1
Vocem
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Sao-Carlense

(Away)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 6 2 4 0 5:3 10
2 Nacional SP 6 2 3 1 4:4 9
3 XV de Jau 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
4 Jacarei FC 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Catanduva FC 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Rio Branco SP 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
3 Penapolense 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Jabaquara 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Barbarense 6 2 4 0 3:1 10
2 America SP 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
3 Sao-Carlense 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Vocem 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Taquaritinga 6 4 0 2 9:6 12
3 SKA Brasil 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
4 Independente SP 6 0 0 6 3:11 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)