Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vodice vs Neretvanac

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Vodice and Neretvanac finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neretvanac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vodice
15%
Draws
49%
Neretvanac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neretvanac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Vodice's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Neretvanac have produced (1.03).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Neretvanac here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vodice Clean Sheet 16%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vodice Neretvanac
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2022 3. HNL South
Vodice vs Neretvanac
1:2
Oct 24, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Vodice
1:1
Mar 24, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Vodice
3:2
Sep 23, 2020 3. HNL South
Vodice vs Neretvanac
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vodice 30 / 100
Neretvanac 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vodice Neretvanac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vodice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neretvanac has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Vodice found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Neretvanac lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vodice VS Neretvanac
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vodice

(Home)
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
27 Jul
Vodice
1 : 3
HNK Zadar
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Hrvace
2 : 0
Vodice
21 May
Vodice
1 : 2
Neretva
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Neretvanac

(Away)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)